Indianapolis vs. Jacksonville Key Information

• Teams: Colts at Jaguars
• Where: EverBank Stadium Jacksonville
• Date: Sunday, October 6th
• Betting Odds JAX -152 | IND +127 O/U 46

The Colts Can Win If…

The Colts’ 27-24 win over the Steelers brought their record to 2-2 for the season. Despite falling behind 14-0 early, Indianapolis fought back to take a 27-24 victory. The Colts were +2.5 point underdogs heading into the game, giving them both a straight-up and ATS win. The combined 51 points easily surpassed the over/under line of 41 points.Indianapolis quickly turned things around after the Colts were down 14-0, scoring 17 unanswered points to take the lead heading into the half. The Colts added a touchdown in the 4th quarter to take a 24-17 lead, and although the Steelers tied it up, Indianapolis sealed the win with a late touchdown.“`

Joe Flacco threw for 168 yards and two touchdowns, leading the Colts to a 27-24 win over the Steelers. Indianapolis’ offense had 22 first downs and 404 total yards. Flacco completed 16 of 26 passes (61%) and had a passer rating of 105.

Michael Pittman Jr. was instrumental in the passing game, with 113 yards receiving on six catches. The Colts’ ground game was led by Jonathan Taylor, who rushed for 88 yards on 21 attempts, including a long run of 21 yards and one touchdown.

In their 27-24 win over the Steelers, the Colts’ defense gave up 282 passing yards on 22 completions. Pittsburgh had some success running the ball, with 122 yards on 30 attempts. Indianapolis’ defense forced four sacks and limited the Steelers to a 46.2% third-down conversion rate. The Colts also had four quarterback hits, one more than Pittsburgh.The Colts allowed one passing touchdown and a 64.7% completion rate to the Steelers. Despite giving up some yardage, their ability to pressure the quarterback and make key stops contributed to their victory.

• Indianapolis will look to keep things rolling as they have put together a mark of 2-1 over their past three games. This also includes going 2-1 ATS and an over-under mark of 1-2.
• Over their last ten regular season games, the Colts have gone 5-5 straight up. In these contests, the team went just 5-5 against the spread, while going 6-4 on the over-under.

The Jaguars Can Win If…

Despite leading 20-17 heading into the 4th quarter, the Jaguars are still looking for their first win after falling to the Texans 24-20. Jacksonville’s record now stands at 0-4. The Jaguars were +5.5 point underdogs in this one, and their 4-point loss meant they covered the spread. The combined 44 points was just under the O/U line of 44.5 points.

Jacksonville got off to a good start, leading 10-7 after the 1st quarter and adding a late touchdown to take a 20-17 lead in the 3rd. However, they couldn’t hold on in the end. Trevor Lawrence connected with Brian Thomas Jr. for two touchdowns in the 3rd quarter to briefly take the lead. The Jaguars will be disappointed not to capitalize on this one, as the Texans outscored them 7-0 in the 4th quarter.

Despite their 24-20 loss to the Texans, the Jaguars’ running game performed well, averaging 6.6 yards per attempt on 158 yards. They struggled in the passing game, with Trevor Lawrence completing just 54% of his passes for 155 yards. Lawrence did throw two touchdowns and finished with 169 yards passing and an 89 passer rating.

Brian Thomas Jr. led the Jaguars with 86 yards receiving and one touchdown. Tank Bigsby was the top rusher with 90 yards, including a 58-yard run, on just seven attempts.

In their 24-20 loss to the Texans, the Jaguars allowed 27 completions for 334 yards through the air. The defense struggled to get off the field, as Houston converted on 53.8% of their third down attempts. Overall, the Jaguars gave up 435 total yards and allowed two passing touchdowns.Despite the loss, the Jaguars did generate some pressure, finishing with two sacks and holding the Texans to a 3.9 yards per attempt on the ground. Jacksonville also won the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials in the game.

• The Jaguars have gone 1-2 over their last three regular season games. In these matchups, they ended with an ATS record of 1-2 and an over-under mark of 0-3.
• The Jaguars have gone 4-6 over their last ten regular season games. This includes going 4-6 vs. the spread along with an over-under mark of 4-6.

The Lean

For this week five matchup between the Colts and Jaguars, we have the Colts coming out on top by a score of 24-21. With the Jaguars being the home team, they are currently sitting as 3-point favorites. However, we are going against the spread and taking the Colts to cover as road underdogs.

As for the best way to attack the over/under line, we are leaning towards the under, with a projected combined score of 45 points and the O/U line sitting at 46 points.

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Source:Scoresandstats