February 10, 2025

NFL Wild Card|No. 6 Browns at No. 3 Steelers Sun Jan 10th

2 min read

Here we are a week removed from the last meeting between these two teams the only thing that changes this week is the venu and who the bookmakers have listed as the favorite to advance.

The Las Vegas bookmakers opened this game Pittsburgh (-3.5) O/U (47) and the line has moved as high at Pittsburgh (6.5) with a total of (47.5).

History does not favor “My Browns” heading into Pittsburgh as they have The visitors have lost 17 consecutive times in Pittsburgh. Last weeks game was an emotional one for the Browns who for the first time in 18 years they have finally made the playoffs and last weeks win ws just as good as a super bowl win for the dawg pound.

In the 17 straight home wins for Pitts v Clev Pitt has won by an average of 13.5 ppg going 11-6 ATS (+5.5 ppg) in those games.The browns will be without Head Coach Kevin Stefanski Covid related and could also be without a few players on the sildeline as their facilty once again was closed due to active covid case this week and the team just returned on friday to take in what may be some need practise.

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When a line moves at least 1 point toward a team in the playoffs, those teams have covered at a 58% clip over the last decade. The line in this case has moved 3 points.

TOP TEAM TRENDS

PITTSBURGH is 6-1 ATS(L7G) – Revenging a loss vs – CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS(L15G) – Conference games
PITTSBURGH is 13-1-1 OVER(L15G) at HOME – In January

Pittsburgh defense that generated a league-high 56 sacks and came up with 27 takeaways. Pittsburgh allowed just 19.5 points per game, third-lowest in the league.

The say bet with your head and not your heart. This one should be an easy pick. Thanks for opening the door so we could let the DAWGS out to play but the Steelers today will stop the barking and the Brown will head home with loss #18 in Pittsburgh.

Prediction: Pittsburgh 31-20 (Pitts -6.5) is the play

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