The Eagles are favored on the road as they take on the Buccaneers at 1:00 ET on Sunday, September 29th at Raymond James Stadium. The Eagles’ money line is -139, and they are -2.5 point favorites on the road. The Buccaneers’ money line odds are +117, and the over/under line is set at 45 points. You can catch this week four NFC matchup on FOX.

Philadelphia vs. Tampa Bay Key Information

• Teams: Eagles at Buccaneers
• Where: Raymond James Stadium Tampa Bay
• Date: Sunday, September 29th
• Betting Odds PHI -139 | TB +117 O/U 45

The Eagles Can Win If…

Philadelphia pulled out a 15-12 win over the Saints, despite trailing 3-0 after the 1st quarter and 3-0 at halftime. The Eagles’ record is now 2-1. The Eagles were +2.5 point underdogs on the road, giving them both a straight-up and ATS win. The combined 27 points was well below the over/under line of 49 points.

Philadelphia didn’t score until late in the 3rd quarter, when Saquon Barkley broke a 65-yard touchdown run. In the 4th quarter, the Eagles outscored the Saints 15-9, with Barkley adding another touchdown and Philadelphia taking the lead for good with 1:05 remaining. The Eagles’ defense held New Orleans to a field goal until the 4th quarter, when Derek Carr found Chris Olave for a touchdown.

The Eagles’ offense put up 20 first downs and 172 rushing yards on 25 attempts in their 15-12 win over the Saints. Despite not scoring a touchdown, Jalen Hurts threw for 311 yards, completing 76% of his passes. He was sacked four times and threw one interception. Hurts’ top target was Dallas Goedert, who had 170 receiving yards.

Philadelphia’s running game was led by Saquon Barkley, who rushed for 147 yards, averaging 8.6 yards per attempt and scoring two touchdowns, including a 65-yard run. The Eagles struggled on third down, converting just 42.9% of their chances.

In their 15-12 win over the Saints, the Eagles’ defense didn’t allow a single completion, giving up just 130 yards on one touchdown. They also forced one interception. The Eagles’ run defense was solid, allowing just 89 yards on 29 attempts. However, they struggled to generate consistent pressure, with just one sack and losing both the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials.On third downs, the Eagles held the Saints to a 46.2% conversion rate. Despite their success, the Eagles’ offense didn’t help much, putting up only 219 yards in the game.

• The Eagles have posted a 2-1 record in their previous three games. Against the spread, the team is 2-1 in these same games while going 1-2 on the over/under.
• The Eagles have gone 3-7 over their last ten regular season games. Their record against the spread in this stretch is 2-8 to go along with an over-under mark of 4-6.

The Buccaneers Can Win If…

The Buccaneers are now 2-1 after a 26-7 loss to the Broncos in their most recent game. Tampa Bay fell behind early, as the Broncos led 14-0 after the 1st quarter. The Bucs managed to score in the 2nd quarter when Baker Mayfield connected with Chris Godwin for a 6-yard touchdown, but they still trailed 20-7 at halftime.

Wil Lutz’s field goal with 7:35 remaining in the 4th quarter was the last score for the Buccaneers. The Bucs were favored by -6 but lost straight-up and against the spread, with the 19-point defeat. The combined 33 points resulted in the game going under the 40.5-point total.

The Buccaneers’ offense struggled in their 26-7 loss to the Broncos, managing just 132 yards passing. Baker Mayfield went 25/33 for 163 yards and one touchdown. Tampa Bay’s running game had just 16 attempts but averaged 5.7 yards per attempt, with Bucky Irving leading the team with 70 yards, including a 32-yard run.

Mayfield was sacked seven times in the game, and the offense as a whole failed to convert on 72.7% of their third down attempts. Chris Godwin led the team with six catches for 53 yards and caught their only touchdown pass.

In their 26-7 loss to the Broncos, the Buccaneers’ defense allowed 216 passing yards and held Denver to 0 completions. However, they struggled to stop the run, giving up 136 rushing yards on just 28 attempts. Tampa Bay’s defense didn’t record any sacks in the game and allowed the Broncos to hit their quarterback seven more times than they hit the opposing QB. Additionally, they allowed a 30.8% third-down conversion rate.The Buccaneers’ defense also allowed 352 total yards in the game, with Denver finding success on the ground, averaging 4.9 yards per attempt. Despite not allowing any passing yards, the defense couldn’t keep the Broncos out of the endzone, as they gave up 26 points and allowed two rushing touchdowns.

• The Buccaneers have posted a 2-1 record in their previous three games. In these games, they have a 2-1 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 1-2.
• Tampa Bay has put together a record of 5-5 in their last ten games (regular season). The team’s record vs the spread was just 4-6, in addition to an over-under mark of 2-8.

The Lean

Our pick against the spread for this Eagles vs. Buccaneers matchup is to take the Buccaneers to cover as home underdogs. Right now, the Eagles are favored by 2.5 points, and we actually have the Buccaneers pulling off the upset, 19-18.

For an over/under pick, we like taking the under, with a projected combined score of 37 points and the O/U line sitting at 45 points.

Source:scoresandstats.com

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